Bank of America's International President Bernard Mensah says the bank sees a slowdown in mergers and acquisitions as corporate leaders wait to see in which direction US President Donald Trump will take the world economy.
The Bank of America Global Investor Summit opens in Dubai on Monday night, the first time the gathering of the bank executives and chief executive clients has been convened in the region. High-level speakers, exclusive panels and sideline meetings at the two-day event are expected to drive deals in the months ahead.
The new administration is interested in higher trend growth for the US and for the global economy
Bernard Mensah
Speaking to The National, Mr Mensah discussed the coming direction of the global economy as Mr Trump takes the reins and promises a bargaining approach to rebalancing trade alongside an April decision on imposing tariffs.
The effect so far for Bank of America’s clients has been to pause, and a historically significant drop in mergers and acquisitions in the first weeks of 2025.
“M&A flows globally, not just in the US, have been lower than historical [records] and lower than people expected,” Mr Mensah says. “The actual level of M&A this January was lower than most, let alone expectations of higher – I would expect that pipeline to come back and be executed upon once boardrooms are more confident and have more visibility.
“I think that quite reasonably a lot of boardrooms are saying let's see how things settle down because if we're in a high tariff environment or not, or if we’re subject to trade wars or not, we might get some things done but first we need to have a better sense of the playing field."
Dubai Investors
The search for deals in the GCC countries at least comes against a positive backdrop of plentiful capital reserves and corporate hunger for new ventures that can boost rates of return. Mr Mensah says the region has many positives to offer.
“There's a huge amount of excess savings in the world, particularly in the [Gulf] region,” he says, adding that the Dubai summit can unlock cross-border co-operation. “I think the really powerful thing about these events is the leveraging effect. The capital in the region is important and we want to have a sense of what that capital is thinking in Dubai. These investors are a very powerful group; they will be informed by the immediate location they are in and then combine it with a very global perspective.”
Bank of America has been expanding its footprint in response to the regional reform agendas. “We’ve been looking to deepen relationships in recent years through our offices in Dubai and Saudi Arabia and we’ve been increasing our head count,” Mr Mensah said. “We see more activity in the region with our ability to provide services to corporates that are investing there and to manage their corporate affairs. We have a strong trading equities business and beyond that our ability to provide excellent research is very important.”
Bank of America dates its presence in the region to offering banking services before the establishment of the UAE as a nation in 1971. It has steadily grown its platforms and, according to Mr Mensah, has been in expansion mode in recent years.
Energy appetites
One of the hot topics at the summit is poised to be the forecast global boom in demand for energy. The opportunity to listen to regional insights on how this will play out will be a highlight of the trip for Mr Mensah, a London-based former fixed incomes trader.
“We can't persist with the old equation of energy demand and supply, can we?” he asks. “Going forward there will be much increased demand for energy and specialist demand for energy related to some of the emerging technologies. I see the non-specialists in the room wanting to have a more complex, more sophisticated dialogue around energy.”
New horizons
Much of this rising demand is related to the big theme of 2024 going into 2025, which is forecasts around AI innovation spreading across the wider economy and how adoption of data-driven technology can transform productivity across the workplace.
“There is a lot of demand emanating from the upside created by the technology innovations that have taken place,” Mr Mensah says.
Balancing that cause for optimism is the shared uncertainty around policies coming out of Washington. Yet he can also foresee a transformative period ahead.
“I am pretty certain that the new administration is interested in higher trend growth for the US and for the global economy,” he says. “Their aim is to do that with a lower debt burden and a lower debt profile for the United States and a more efficient economy.
“They have a big vested interest in global trade continuing, to do well and grow. One has to assume that when the dust settles, they will be working to leave us with architecture that is more viable for the US economy.”
UPI facts
More than 2.2 million Indian tourists arrived in UAE in 2023
More than 3.5 million Indians reside in UAE
Indian tourists can make purchases in UAE using rupee accounts in India through QR-code-based UPI real-time payment systems
Indian residents in UAE can use their non-resident NRO and NRE accounts held in Indian banks linked to a UAE mobile number for UPI transactions
Oppenheimer
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Scores:
Day 4
England 290 & 346
Sri Lanka 336 & 226-7 (target 301)
Sri Lanka require another 75 runs with three wickets remaining
House-hunting
Top 10 locations for inquiries from US house hunters, according to Rightmove
- Edinburgh, Scotland
- Westminster, London
- Camden, London
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The specs
Engine: 3.0-litre six-cylinder turbo
Power: 398hp from 5,250rpm
Torque: 580Nm at 1,900-4,800rpm
Transmission: Eight-speed auto
Fuel economy, combined: 6.5L/100km
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The bio
Who inspires you?
I am in awe of the remarkable women in the Arab region, both big and small, pushing boundaries and becoming role models for generations. Emily Nasrallah was a writer, journalist, teacher and women’s rights activist
How do you relax?
Yoga relaxes me and helps me relieve tension, especially now when we’re practically chained to laptops and desks. I enjoy learning more about music and the history of famous music bands and genres.
What is favourite book?
The Perks of Being a Wallflower - I think I've read it more than 7 times
What is your favourite Arabic film?
Hala2 Lawen (Translation: Where Do We Go Now?) by Nadine Labaki
What is favourite English film?
Mamma Mia
Best piece of advice to someone looking for a career at Google?
If you’re interested in a career at Google, deep dive into the different career paths and pinpoint the space you want to join. When you know your space, you’re likely to identify the skills you need to develop.
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China and the UAE agree comprehensive strategic partnership
China and the UAE forged even closer links between the two countries during the landmark state visit after finalising a ten-point agreement on a range of issues, from international affairs to the economy and trade and renewable energy.
1. Politics: The two countries agreed to support each other on issues of security and to work together on regional and international challenges. The nations also confirmed that the number of high-level state visits between China and the UAE will increase.
2. Economy: The UAE offers its full support to China's Belt and Road Initiative, which will combine a land 'economic belt" and a "maritime silk road" that will link China with the Arabian Gulf as well as Southeast, South and Central China, North Africa and, eventually, Europe.
3. Business and innovation: The two nations are committed to exploring new partnerships in sectors such as Artificial Intelligence, energy, the aviation and transport industries and have vowed to build economic co-operation through the UAE-China Business Committee.
4. Education, science and technology: The Partnership Programme between Arab countries in Science and Technology will encourage young Emirati scientists to conduct research in China, while the nations will work together on the peaceful use of nuclear energy, renewable energy and space projects.
5. Renewable energy and water: The two countries will partner to develop renewable energy schemes and work to reduce climate change. The nations have also reiterated their support for the Abu Dhabi-based International Renewable Energy Agency.
6. Oil and gas: The UAE and China will work in partnership in the crude oil trade and the exploration and development of oil and natural gas resources.
7. Military and law enforcement and security fields: Joint training will take place between the Chinese and UAE armed forces, while the two nations will step up efforts to combat terrorism and organised crime.
8. Culture and humanitarian issues: Joint cultural projects will be developed and partnerships will be cultivated on the preservation of heritage, contemporary art and tourism.
9. Movement between countries: China and the UAE made clear their intent to encourage travel between the countries through a wide-ranging visa waiver agreement.
10. Implementing the strategic partnership: The Intergovernmental Co-operation Committee, established last year, will be used to ensure the objectives of the partnership are implemented.
MOUNTAINHEAD REVIEW
Starring: Ramy Youssef, Steve Carell, Jason Schwartzman
Director: Jesse Armstrong
Rating: 3.5/5
Specs
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Specs
Engine: Dual-motor all-wheel-drive electric
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TOP 5 DRIVERS 2019
1 Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes, 10 wins 387 points
2 Valtteri Bottas, Mercedes, 4 wins, 314 points
3 Max Verstappen, Red Bull, 3 wins, 260 points
4 Charles Leclerc, Ferrari, 2 wins, 249 points
5 Sebastian Vettel, Ferrari, 1 win, 230 points
ONCE UPON A TIME IN GAZA
Starring: Nader Abd Alhay, Majd Eid, Ramzi Maqdisi
Directors: Tarzan and Arab Nasser
Rating: 4.5/5
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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GAC GS8 Specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4cyl turbo
Power: 248hp at 5,200rpm
Torque: 400Nm at 1,750-4,000rpm
Transmission: 8-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 9.1L/100km
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About Karol Nawrocki
• Supports military aid for Ukraine, unlike other eurosceptic leaders, but he will oppose its membership in western alliances.
• A nationalist, his campaign slogan was Poland First. "Let's help others, but let's take care of our own citizens first," he said on social media in April.
• Cultivates tough-guy image, posting videos of himself at shooting ranges and in boxing rings.
• Met Donald Trump at the White House and received his backing.
T20 SQUADS
Australia: Aaron Finch (c), Mitchell Marsh, Alex Carey, Ashton Agar, Nathan Coulter-Nile, Chris Lynn, Nathan Lyon, Glenn Maxwell, Ben McDermott, D’Arcy Short, Billy Stanlake, Mitchell Starc, Andrew Tye, Adam Zampa.
Pakistan: Sarfraz Ahmed (c), Fakhar Zaman, Mohammad Hafeez, Sahibzada Farhan, Babar Azam, Shoaib Malik, Asif Ali, Hussain Talat, Shadab Khan, Shaheen Shah Afridi, Usman Khan Shinwari, Hassan Ali, Imad Wasim, Waqas Maqsood, Faheem Ashraf.
Details
Through Her Lens: The stories behind the photography of Eva Sereny
Forewords by Jacqueline Bisset and Charlotte Rampling, ACC Art Books
MATCH INFO
Tottenham Hotspur 3 (Son 1', Kane 8' & 16') West Ham United 3 (Balbuena 82', Sanchez og 85', Lanzini 90' 4)
Man of the match Harry Kane
Seemar’s top six for the Dubai World Cup Carnival:
1. Reynaldothewizard
2. North America
3. Raven’s Corner
4. Hawkesbury
5. New Maharajah
6. Secret Ambition
Brief scoreline
Switzerland 0
England 0
Result: England win 6-5 on penalties
Man of the Match: Trent Alexander-Arnold (England)