Bin Laden episode the true test of US-Pakistan ties


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Most of the questions in the aftermath of the Osama bin Laden killing on Sunday night seem to be focused on the relationship between Pakistan and the United States, with good reason.

The closest thing to a soap opera that follows a dysfunctional couple rocked by infidelity, drugs and far too much (or too little) money changing hands, the Pakistan-US equation is titillating stuff for world affairs junkies.

Today, condemnation of Pakistan flows fast and deep from many world capitals.

In Washington, where frustration with America's own problems in Afghanistan find an easy target in Islamabad's ginger and hesitating support, Pakistan is seen by many to have given support and succour to bin Laden all these years. For Americans, this is as close to unforgivable as it comes.

It's worth asking whether this episode, no matter the truth, will mark the end of the torrid love affair between Pakistan and the US. Some regional allies would certainly like it to.

In India, Pakistan's hostile and much larger neighbour, there's a growing chorus that wants to press home the advantage. Indians have used the terror argument as a primary instrument in a diplomatic blitzkrieg against Pakistan - especially since Pakistani terrorists attacked Mumbai on November 26, 2011.

New Delhi would love nothing more than to be able to deal with a Pakistan that did not have American backing. The bin Laden killing offers a golden opportunity for Indian diplomacy to seek to widen the divide between Washington and Islamabad.

The most important calculus, then, may be the one taking place within the confines of the CIA, the Pentagon,and the White House.

The speech given by the US president, Barack Obama, in which he announced the killing of bin Laden offered some clues on what direction that calculus will take. The speech by Secretary of State Hillary Clinton offered some more. But perhaps the most telling was the press conference made by counter-terrorism czar John Brennan.

Without any of the sentimental extras that US officials often seek to infuse into their descriptions of Pakistan, Mr Brennan described in detailed precision the limits to what the US was willing to share with Pakistan, and the depth to which America was committed to the country. Obama administration officials have consistently, despite having made some major mistakes along the way, maintained the need for a long-term and deep relationship with Pakistan.

Some of the belligerent tones being heard in the US capital and other places with regards to Pakistan is sourced in a superficial and limited understanding of two important aspects of the US-Pakistan relationship.

The first is Pakistani leverage. Pakistan, despite its own dysfunction, is instrumental to the outcomes that the US wants to achieve in Afghanistan as it begins to prepare for a significant ramping down of its presence there. For ethnic, linguistic and geographic reasons, Pakistan has unsurmountable advantages in terms of its ability to exercise influence in Afghanistan. This is partly why India is so very keen to sustain an American presence there that backs Indian interests, rather than Pakistani.

The second is the depth of investment the democratic administration of Mr Obama has made in Pakistan. Forget the $15 billion (Dh55billion) or so that has been provided to the Pakistani military and government. Mr Obama's establishment of an Af-Pak unit dedicated to dealing with the region was a stroke of administrative and policy genius.

The now deceased head of this unit, Richard Holbrooke, engaged some of the finest policy minds available to try to understand what makes Pakistan tick. One inescapable conclusion was the need for a sustained democratic equation in Pakistan. The fact that it has been two-term Republican presidents that always seemed to back military dictators had to have helped the argument—Ronald Reagan supported Zia ul Haq's 11 year dictatorship and George W Bush supported Pervez Musharraf's nine year reign.

While Pakistani leverage is a short-term tactical issue, and matters only as long as there is a large US presence in Afghanistan, Pakistan's own political economy is a long strategic one. A state with as deep a set of problems as Pakistan does not reform overnight. Pakistanis have often lost patience far too quickly, and allowed the military to take over out of sheer frustration. In short, Pakistan needs help to reform.

It seems that despite the obvious implications of bin Laden having found a home deep inside Pakistan, the Americans have not lost patience yet. That may come, depending on what surfaces about Pakistan's involvement in harbouring the al Qa'eda head. But good money is on the US continuing to exercise patience with Pakistan, both because it has no other choice, and because it just might be the right thing to do.

Mosharraf Zaidi is a Pakistani analyst and policy development adviser.

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Daniella Weiss and Nachala
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Harel Libi & Libi Construction and Infrastructure
Libi has been involved in threatening and perpetuating acts of aggression and violence against Palestinians. His firm has provided logistical and financial support for the establishment of illegal outposts.

Zohar Sabah
Runs a settler outpost named Zohar’s Farm and has previously faced charges of violence against Palestinians. He was indicted by Israel’s State Attorney’s Office in September for allegedly participating in a violent attack against Palestinians and activists in the West Bank village of Muarrajat.

Coco’s Farm and Neria’s Farm
These are illegal outposts in the West Bank, which are at the vanguard of the settler movement. According to the UK, they are associated with people who have been involved in enabling, inciting, promoting or providing support for activities that amount to “serious abuse”.

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Al Nasr 2

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If you go...

Etihad Airways flies from Abu Dhabi to Kuala Lumpur, from about Dh3,600. Air Asia currently flies from Kuala Lumpur to Terengganu, with Berjaya Hotels & Resorts planning to launch direct chartered flights to Redang Island in the near future. Rooms at The Taaras Beach and Spa Resort start from 680RM (Dh597).

UAE squad

Men's draw: Victor Scvortov and Khalifa Al Hosani, (both 73 kilograms), Sergiu Toma and Mihail Marchitan (90kg), Ivan Remarenco (100kg), Ahmed Al Naqbi (60kg), Musabah Al Shamsi and Ahmed Al Hosani (66kg)

Women’s draw: Maitha Al Neyadi (57kg)

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How to volunteer

The UAE volunteers campaign can be reached at www.volunteers.ae , or by calling 800-VOLAE (80086523), or emailing info@volunteers.ae.

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On sale: now 

Auron Mein Kahan Dum Tha

Starring: Ajay Devgn, Tabu, Shantanu Maheshwari, Jimmy Shergill, Saiee Manjrekar

Director: Neeraj Pandey

Rating: 2.5/5

Building boom turning to bust as Turkey's economy slows

Deep in a provincial region of northwestern Turkey, it looks like a mirage - hundreds of luxury houses built in neat rows, their pointed towers somewhere between French chateau and Disney castle.

Meant to provide luxurious accommodations for foreign buyers, the houses are however standing empty in what is anything but a fairytale for their investors.

The ambitious development has been hit by regional turmoil as well as the slump in the Turkish construction industry - a key sector - as the country's economy heads towards what could be a hard landing in an intensifying downturn.

After a long period of solid growth, Turkey's economy contracted 1.1 per cent in the third quarter, and many economists expect it will enter into recession this year.

The country has been hit by high inflation and a currency crisis in August. The lira lost 28 per cent of its value against the dollar in 2018 and markets are still unconvinced by the readiness of the government under President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to tackle underlying economic issues.

The villas close to the town centre of Mudurnu in the Bolu region are intended to resemble European architecture and are part of the Sarot Group's Burj Al Babas project.

But the development of 732 villas and a shopping centre - which began in 2014 - is now in limbo as Sarot Group has sought bankruptcy protection.

It is one of hundreds of Turkish companies that have done so as they seek cover from creditors and to restructure their debts.

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Healthy tips to remember

Here, Dr Mohamed El Abiary, paediatric consultant at Al Zahra Hospital Dubai, shares some advice for parents whose children are fasting during the holy month of Ramadan:

Gradual fasting and golden points - For children under the age of 10, follow a step-by-step approach to fasting and don't push them beyond their limits. Start with a few hours fasting a day and increase it to a half fast and full fast when the child is ready. Every individual's ability varies as per the age and personal readiness. You could introduce a points system that awards the child and offers them encouragement when they make progress with the amount of hours they fast

Why fast? - Explain to your child why they are fasting. By shedding light on the importance of abstaining from food and drink, children may feel more encouraged to give it there all during the observance period. It is also a good opportunity to teach children about controlling urges, doing good for others and instilling healthy food habits

Sleep and suhoor - A child needs adequate sleep every night - at least eight hours. Make sure to set a routine early bedtime so he/she has sufficient time to wake up for suhoor, which is an essential meal at the beginning of the day

Good diet - Nutritious food is crucial to ensuring a healthy Ramadan for children. They must refrain from eating too much junk food as well as canned goods and snacks and drinks high in sugar. Foods that are rich in nutrients, vitamins and proteins, like fruits, fresh meats and vegetables, make for a good balanced diet

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FIXTURES

Saturday, November 3
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Wales v Scotland
England v South Africa
Ireland v Italy

Saturday, November 10
Italy v Georgia
Scotland v Fiji
England v New Zealand
Wales v Australia
Ireland v Argentina
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Italy v Australia
Wales v Tonga
England v Japan
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Saturday, November 24
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if you go

The flights

Etihad, Emirates and Singapore Airlines fly direct from the UAE to Singapore from Dh2,265 return including taxes. The flight takes about 7 hours.

The hotel

Rooms at the M Social Singapore cost from SG $179 (Dh488) per night including taxes.

The tour

Makan Makan Walking group tours costs from SG $90 (Dh245) per person for about three hours. Tailor-made tours can be arranged. For details go to www.woknstroll.com.sg

MATCH INFO

Inter Milan v Juventus
Saturday, 10.45pm (UAE)
Watch the match on BeIN Sports

The Greatest Royal Rumble card as it stands

50-man Royal Rumble - names entered so far include Braun Strowman, Daniel Bryan, Kurt Angle, Big Show, Kane, Chris Jericho, The New Day and Elias

Universal Championship Brock Lesnar (champion) v Roman Reigns in a steel cage match

WWE World Heavyweight Championship AJ Styles (champion) v Shinsuke Nakamura

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United States Championship Jeff Hardy (champion) v Jinder Mahal

SmackDown Tag Team Championship The Bludgeon Brothers (champions) v The Usos

Raw Tag Team Championship (currently vacant) Cesaro and Sheamus v Matt Hardy and Bray Wyatt

Casket match The Undertaker v Chris Jericho

Singles match John Cena v Triple H

Cruiserweight Championship Cedric Alexander v tba

 

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Essentials

The flights
Emirates flies direct from Dubai to Seattle from Dh6,755 return in economy and Dh24,775 in business class.
The cruise
UnCruise Adventures offers a variety of small-ship cruises in Alaska and around the world. A 14-day Alaska’s Inside Passage and San Juans Cruise from Seattle to Juneau or reverse costs from $4,695 (Dh17,246), including accommodation, food and most activities. Trips in 2019 start in April and run until September. 
 

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Results

6pm: Dubai Trophy – Conditions (TB) $100,000 (Turf) 1,200m 

Winner: Silent Speech, William Buick (jockey), Charlie Appleby
(trainer) 

6.35pm: Jumeirah Derby Trial – Conditions (TB) $60,000 (T)
1,800m 

Winner: Island Falcon, Frankie Dettori, Saeed bin Suroor 

7.10pm: UAE 2000 Guineas Trial – Conditions (TB) $60,000 (Dirt)
1,400m 

Winner: Rawy, Mickael Barzalona, Salem bin Ghadayer 

7.45pm: Al Rashidiya – Group 2 (TB) $180,000 (T) 1,800m 

Winner: Desert Fire, Hector Crouch, Saeed bin Suroor 

8.20pm: Al Fahidi Fort – Group 2 (TB) $180,000 (T) 1,400m 

Winner: Naval Crown, William Buick, Charlie Appleby 

8.55pm: Dubawi Stakes – Group 3 (TB) $150,000 (D) 1,200m 

Winner: Al Tariq, Pat Dobbs, Doug Watsons 

9.30pm: Aliyah – Rated Conditions (TB) $80,000 (D) 2,000m 

Winner: Dubai Icon, Patrick Cosgrave, Saeed bin Suroor